Going Through the Paces

I’ve been a bit pressed for time in regards to content today because I’ve been prepping for the next podcast and aside from Bruce Garrioch picking up on the Columbus rumours that Mark Christopher alluded to yesterday, there’s absolutely nothing really noteworthy to cover. Anyways, due to the lull and since I’m a bit of a statistic junkie who loves to use stats to objectify my own opinions, I figured that it’d be a good opportunity to look at the Ottawa Senators roster and contrast this year’s projected stats totals with their career history.

Daniel Alfredsson — 25 GP, 9 G, 17 A, 26 pts

In the last four seasons, Alfie has put up 103, 87, 89 and 74 points respectively. Based on his current production and assuming that he continues to play in every game, Alfie is on pace to put up 29.5 goals, 55.76 assists for 86.28 points. If our beloved captain continues to defy age, it will only further demonstrate that last year’s dip in production can be attributed to the Craig Hartsberg’s system.

Mike Fisher — 23 GP, 10 G, 11 A, 21 Pts

Currently on pace for approximately 34 goals and 38 assists, Mike Fisher’s still on his way to having a breakout season that should surpass his 23 goal and 48 point ’07-08 season. Granted, he hasn’t scored in his last few games, but this might be the year that he stops cockteasing Sens fans with the 50-60+ point promise.

Milan Michalek — 25 GP, 15 G, 5 A, 20 Pts

Dany who? Milan Rouge is turning those goallights red at a ridiculous pace. Heatley might be the former 50-goal scorer but Michalek’s Anonymous can unite when they find out that he’s currently on pace for 49 goals and a whopping 16.4 assists. If Spezza could get his scoring touch together, Michalek should improve upon his totals.

Jason Spezza — 23 GP, 2 G, 13 A, 15 Pts

Based on Spezza’s current pace, he’s projected to produce 6.96 goals and 45.2 assists — both career lows. Maybe it’s not too late to revisit getting on the Dany Who? bandwagon. I’m at a loss for where exactly to place the blame. Is it the fact that he lost his linemate? Or maybe he’s still playing with a bad back? One thing’s for certain, at no point during this season have I looked at Alfie or Michalek and said, “You know, their production is causally related to Spezza’s play.”

Alexandre Picard — 24 GP, 2 G, 10 A, 12 Pts

Considering the amount of flack that Picard gets for his turnovers or unwillingness to get involved physically in spite of his size, fans shouldn’t ignore the points that Picard has put up in the early portion of the season. He’s currently on pace for 6.75 goals, 33.75 assists and 40.5 points.

Filip Kuba — 17 GP, 1 G, 10 A, 11 Pts

Even though Don Brennan wonders whether or not Kuba’s uterus is in proper order, Kuba is Ottawa’s most consistent offensive defenceman. After leading the Senators blueline in points last year (3-37-40), Kuba’s on pace (4.35-43.5-47.85)  to better last year’s totals despite missing some time with an injury that was never really disclosed.

Alexei Kovalev — 22 GP, 4 G, 7 A, 11 Pts

If there was a statistic for dangling through the neutral zone effectively before refusing to make a pass and then firing a shot into the shinpads of a defenceman, Kovalev would be a star. Unfortunately L’Enigma is on pace (14-25-39) for his worst season since 03-04 when he put up 13 goals and 29 assists for 42 points. Ah well, at least he signed a short term deal.

Chris Kelly — 25 GP, 2 G, 8 A, 10 Pts

For a 3rd/4th line center, Kelly’s 32.8 point pace would fall in line with his norm of 30-38 points. Too bad he can’t elevate his anemic faceoff winning percentage totals of 40%.

Jarkko Ruutu — 25 GP, 4 G, 5 A, 9 Pts

While he’s still not immune from taking a dumb penalty or three, Ruutu is on pace to best his mark of 21 points last year. (His career high.) He’s on pace to put up 13 goals and 16 assists for 29 points.

Nick Foligno — 25 GP, 5 G, 4 A, 9 Pts

Based off last season’s strong finish, Nick was a logical choice for a breakout Senator this season. Unfortunately it seems as though Foligno has joined the company of Vermette and Eaves’esqe category of young Senators players who’ve failed to significantly progress past they had shown in their sophomore years. Nick’s currently on pace (16-13-29) to fall short of last year’s mark of 32 points.

Chris Phillips — 25 GP, 3 G, 5 A, 8 Pts

While Phillips is on pace to match the best offensive output of his career — 9.84 goals, 16.9 assists, 26.74 points.

Chris Campoli — 24 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 7 Pts

Considering what Bryan Murray gave up to bring in Campoli and the fact that he’s headed towards restricted free agency, there’s no better time for Campoli to get his shit together. To say that he’s been an underachieving disappointment is an understatement. He’s currently on pace for 3.37 goals, 20.25 assists and 23.67 points.

Anton Volchenkov — 11 GP, 1 G, 4 A, 5 Pts

Should we be surprised that Volchenkov’s putting up his best offensive totals in the year in which he’s headed towards unrestricted free agency? On pace for 6.18 goals, 24.73 assists and 30.9 points, Volchenkov’s set to beat his career mark for points (21), even though he missed 14 games due to an elbow injury.

Chris Neil — 22 GP, 4 G, 1 A, 5 Pts

Even though I still think his contract is too expensive, I’ll give credit where it’s due, Ottawa’s 4-year, $8M man is playing well. However, with each passing year, it’s looking more and more like that 16 goal 05-05 season was a statistical anomaly.

Peter Regin — 19 GP, 3 G, 2 A, 5 Pts & Matt Carkner — 25 GP, 2 G, 3 A, 5 Pts & Jesse Winchester — 9 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 4 Pts

I’ll omit critique here because I don’t have much of a sample size to work with. Although it’s safe to say that Carkner’s better than the typical AHL journeyman.

Jonathan Cheechoo — 25 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 4 Pts

Any time you want to break out of your slump Machu Cheechoo, let us know. His 6 goal, 6 assist, 12 point pace will establish his career worst. What does Ottawa do?

Erik Karlsson — 11 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 4 Pts

Even though he’s undersized and is pretty green, assuming Karlsson plays in every game moving forward, he’s on pace to put up close to 30 assists.

Ryan Shannon — 17 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 3 Pts

Based off of last year’s second half under Clouston, Shannon was expected to provide some decent and affordable secondary scoring. In recent games, he’s showing signs of life but more consistency is needed here.

Brian Lee — 13 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 3 Pts

On pace for 10.76 goals, 5.31 assists, Lee was sent down and based off of recent rumours, we may not get a chance to see him again in a Senators uniform.