Cathartic
Written by Nichols   
Monday, 11 January 2010 17:05
shit_storm_coming

"When you're losing, you have to take risks, push yourself to the limit. And we always seem to be afraid of taking the puck, making a pass, driving forward. There is some sort of fear. There is no consistency. "  ~ Alexei Kovalev, Puck Daddy
I'll paraphrase for Kovalev -- As the injuries continue to mount, the talent deprived Senators have to outplay their opponents to have any chance at outscoring them. The run and gun days from the 2005-07 era are over. This is a team that lacks confidence and is too dependent on their big three. Without Alfie, Michalek and Spezza, this roster simply stinks. With four straight losses, these are trying times for the Ottawa Senators and things aren't going to get any easier as this depleted squad continues their 5-game road trip. From the outset, the games against the Hurricanes and Thrashers were supposed to be the winnable games before having to play the red hot Rangers, a dickheaded Habs squad and that fat savante known as Tim Thomas. From there, the schedule for the rest of the month gets worse. As a fan and writer, there's always a knee-jerk temptation to write an article after some catastrophic loss that dismisses the team completely. It's this can't see the forest for the tree phenomena that has caused me to try and step back and view this recent losing streak objectively. And believe me, I've tried to rationalize everything but it's been a back and forth process.
  1. My initial reaction: This team sucks.
  2. Okay. They're not that bad. Injuries have had a negative impact on the product.
  3. Even before the injuries, this team was characterized by an inefficient power play, bad goaltending and a mediocre blueline.
  4. But the team was winning in spite of these things. A power play and the soft, deflating goals can be remedied.
  5. Or the team's record is flattering because it is inflated by the team's strong play on home ice.
  6. Going back to the injuries have highlighted a concern that the Ottawa's two dynamic offensive talents who make their linemates better are aged 36 and 37. And aside from Peter Regin, no young prospect or player who is ready to assume top six minutes and contribute.
  7. Would this team be willing to trim the fat and retool?
  8. No, there's this perpetuated Canadian stigma attached to organizations that fans will not pay to see a loser.
  9. Aside from the Maple Leafs, do Canadian owners own a team to make money? I'd say no. It's about the social aspect that allows them to brag that they own an NHL team in Canada. Besides, fans aren't paying to watch a team that's meddling in the middle of the Eastern Conference. Today's Senators fans are smarter. It's not so much about wins and losses as it is about being entertained and building a contender.
  10. But is there any reason to assume that Bryan Murray would retool since last season's precedence shows that he's comfortable sticking with the status quo?
  11. With the way the next month of the schedule sets itself up, these next few weeks of the season will make or break this team's chance to get into the playoffs. So what happens now? Even I'm a bit conflicted here.

It wasn't until I read a recent Larry Brooks article that I found myself nodding my head in agreement with what he had to say.

This is about the big picture. Management cannot afford to be shortsighted here. Making the playoffs for a fifth straight season is a nice little accomplishment, but ultimately means next to nothing if the achievement isn't a stepping stone to contention. ~ Larry Brooks, NY Post
Truer words have not been spoken and there are parallels that can be drawn between the two meddling franchises. Bad contracts? Yep. Overpaid vets? You bet. A roster with easily recognizable holes? Indeed. A young forward or two to gravitate to and throw your hope behind? Absolutely not.

This is the new NHL. A time when teams are reluctant to trade NHL-ready talent. It doesn't help matters that Ottawa no longer has the assets or the personnel to acquire skilled young talent without paying a premium like Toronto did for Phil Kessel. It seems like the only way to acquire these skilled players is to draft and develop your own. And with a General Manager and scouting department whose trade record is spotty but is lauded for its drafting, when is it time to ask ourselves -- why aren't these guys playing to their strength?
"Right now, what can go wrong, is going wrong." ~ Cory Clouston
Sadly Cory is right. Everything that's going wrong is going wrong. But things could get worse. If last year taught me anything, it's that Bryan Murray is susceptible to making some band-aid solution moves. This year, I'm crossing my fingers and hoping like hell that he'll listen to offers and trim the fat off of this average roster.

Spare Me the Bullshit

If you feel compelled to use the comment thread to spout off about how the city of Ottawa needs the Senators to make the playoffs and make money, don't waste your time. I'm not buying into it. Eugene Melnyk and any other small market owner isn't in the business of owning a NHL team to make money. If this was all about the bottom dollar, the organization would have saved themselves millions before the start of the year by never inking Kovalev to his current deal.

Engaging Statistic of the Day

Mike Fisher hasn't scored since he proposed to Carrie Underwood. Is it a sign? Definitely not. It's more indicative to the fact that without their first line, the opposition only has to focus on shutting down the Fisher/Kovalev tandem. ( A fact that Clouston has recognized and changed. Regin was skating with Kovalev and Shannon last night.)

Fire Eli Wilson?

SLC from Five For Smiting has some intriguing reasoning for wanting Eli Wilson, Ottawa's forgotten goaltending coach, to be fired. It was so good that it may have even helped inspire a similar piece about Greg Carvel from Sens Town.

Trade Thought Bubble

Envision a scenario in which the Ottawa Senators fall out of the playoff picture and Anton Volchenkov doesn't seem interested in re-upping with the Senators. If you're Bryan Murray, what do you do with him and where would you send him/what is your ideal return? Post your idea below in the comment thread.


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Comments (8)add
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written by dzuunmod , January 11, 2010
The idea that fans won't pay to see a loser is hardly a Canadian thing - far from it. Think back to the 90s with the Lightning and the Panthers, and the different approaches they took from the Sens right off the bat: they went for immediate gratification over a long building process, because the thinking was that the American fans there weren't sophisticated enough to support a team through trying times, while Ottawa fans were *hockey* fans, and would be more willing to tolerate losing seasons.

It's really not a Canadian thing, if it's specific to a place, that place would be New York, where they do nothing but go after free agent talent, year after year, in lieu of a slow build through the draft (see: Rangers, Yankees, Mets).
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MasterOfPuppets
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written by MasterOfPuppets , January 11, 2010
There is a coach, there is a system that can work to turn any team into a "contender". We seem to have found the coach. But now the defensive aspects of the system are exposed by mediocre talent. Bottom line there's no overnight sensation gonna come in and solve those deficiencies.

Lately the Sens are being burned by mistakes. Like the Canadian WJC team vs the US. They compete most nights. Most nights they are in the game and then a mistake or two - puck in back of net. (The difference is there's no Jordan Eberle to balls out get that goal or two needed to send the game into extra time). Whether it's a bad pinch, a giveway or a soft goal. Top it off with a slew of injuries and the team can't gel or get any chemistry going. They just have to battle through it. Media be damned.

In the beginning of the year the bounces went their way most times - they won games they probably shouldn't have. Now Karma has flipped.

Who knows what's gonna happen. Peel off 3 or 4 straight wins and we'll sing a different tune.

I agree totally on the fan support. A winning steamrolling team is great, but it also needs support when it's down and all the negativity and shitting on this and that is hardly support. We are guilty because we gravitate toward the negative.

Hockey is a game that can turn one way or the other at any time. I still believe the team will get better and make the playoffs.

Maybe I'm dreaming in technicolour.

I'll still cheer for em regardless.
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Nichols
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written by Nichols , January 11, 2010
@dzuunmod Alright that was ignorant of me to brand the making the playoffs phenomenon as exclusive to Canada.

@MoP Great take on Clouston. I don't think there's another coach in the NHL who could get more out of this club than he has thus far this season.
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written by Ian S , January 11, 2010
Good article.
I think Melnyk is the type of guy who really doesn't care whether or not this franchise becomes a cash cow, he simply wants a winning, competetive team and will let Murray spend the money when he needs to. And while Murray does have a tendency to make those band-aid type trades, I disagree a bit with your comment about not playing to their strengths in drafting. I believe that while it has been a slow proccess, Murray is doing just that: he is building from within. At this point, our defensive prospects are very good. With guys like Karlsson, Cowen, Wiercoch, Schira, Smith and Blood in the system, we are set for years. And now, we have a blue-chip goaltending prospect in Robin Lehner. Finally, add in the recent forward draft selections of Petersson, Silfverberg and Sandin and you can see what Murray is trying to do. (And no, I don't mean build team Sweden) I believe that in the next couple drafts he will do everything possible to draft a couple more high quality forwards (hopefully a centre) and suddenly, the Senators will have a wealth of talent. I think that despite his mistakes, Murray and his staff know what they are doing and that if we give them another couple years, we will see results.
And I hope like hell Murray doesn't make me eat my words in a couple years.
As for the Volchenkov thing, I'd hate to see that Juggernaut go, but if we had to, there's no way in hell we should get less than a high quality prospect or a high pick + a roster player. We just can't let him go for less.
How about Kris Versteeg and a first round draft pick from Chicago? Versteeg's and Volchie's contracts are almost identical in value, and aquiring Volchenkov would make Chicago's defence very strong.
Thoughts?
All in all, excellent article.
It's why I keep coming back!
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written by Ian S , January 11, 2010
I'll throw this in too: If the Kings try for a real run at the cup, then how about some sort of package that involves Volchenkov for Brayden Schenn? A bit of a stretch, but the Kings have the cap space and just might bite if it gives them a chance of reaching the big dance.
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written by GelatinousMutantCoconut , January 11, 2010
Eli Wilson and Greg Carvel SHOULD be fired. Their results have been far too mediocre.

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written by Gerald Norton , January 11, 2010
Good blog. We all feel much the same...kinda numb, knowing there's no quick fix, and even when the injuries are done, the team still isn't a legit contender.
But, I do think things are o.k. The roster is in an upswing with new D blood coming in, and, should we land a decent forward or two, along with the few prospects we have, we should have some money to fill the holes in 3 yrs. time.
Right now this team needs a top 6 and a top 4.
So, Volchy and Kelly for Versteeg and Barker.
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written by Benjamin , January 12, 2010
There are about six teams in the NHL that would qualify as a true Stanley Cup contender on paper. But as Sens and Sharks fans know, it doesn't mean a thing. Once you reach the post-season, anything can happen, and that paper can be used to wipe your ass with.

It's funny how the team is in 7th place right now, a playoff position, and everyone thinks the season is over.

When Spezza, Alfie and Michalek come back, this team will be competitive again. I'm not saying worldbeaters, but they will be good enough to have a chance to win every night. After last season, I think that's about a good situation as we can ask for.

If you're the type of person who thinks a team should just fold up the tent and go home if you're not the Blackhawks or Sharks, that line of thinking would result in empty arenas in about 24 cities. Upsets happen, the good times and bad times go hand in hand for a sports fan. With all these injuries of course Ottawa will lose more than they win, it's a dark time right now. But I see the light when are top guys come back. Murray makes a move or two to strengthen the D, and if Leclaire can find his game like he did before his injury...well, it's not such a bad place to be.
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